The Caps’ Next Goalie

Where will he come from? Is he in the system now? When will he be ready to take over the reins? Will the Caps need to trade for a goaltender to serve as a “bridge” between the Olie Kolzig/Brent Johnson duo and the next goalie to come out of the Caps’ system?

I dunno, I dunno, I dunno. I dunno.

With Kolzig approaching his 38th birthday and still unsigned beyond this season, it’s certainly safe to say that we don’t know what the immediate future of the Caps’ goaltending situation will be. I believe these last 32 games of the season will be telling. If the Kolzig/Brent Johnson tandem proves reasonably effective, the Caps could re-sign Kolzig for another year and go with a similar split/rotation next season. Several teams have had varying degrees of success with this type of system this season, most notably Detroit with Dominik Hasek and Chris Osgood.

If the Caps’ braintrust deems the Kolzig/Johnson duo untenable for an up-and-coming Stanley Cup hopeful team in 2008-09, then perhaps a trade might be in the offing this summer. Washington has a burgeoning stable of young prospects at many positions, and it has three second-round choices in addition to a first-rounder in what is generally regarded as a deep 2008 NHL Entry Draft. The Capitals have also drafted four goaltenders in the past three drafts. Daren Machesney (2005), Simeon Varlamov and Michal Neuvirth (2006) and Dan Dunn (2007) are unlikely to have an impact at the NHL level anytime soon. But it may be worth a look at past drafts to see when we might expect one or more of these young netminders to be ready make the jump.

In the interest of time-saving, I went back as far as 1989, the draft that brought Kolzig to town.

1989
Washington chose Kolzig with the 19th overall pick, and he was the first goaltender chosen. The Caps also grabbed the second goalie taken in the draft, tabbing Byron Dafoe with the 35th pick. Both went on to enjoy successful careers in the league, but it would be eight years before Kolzig was able to take the starting job and record double-digit wins in a season. Dafoe didn’t blossom until he got out of Washington in 1995, and he didn’t truly “arrive” as an NHL goaltender until 1997-98, the same season in which Kolzig began his run of success. Of the 17 goaltenders taken after Kolzig and Dafoe in 1989, only Arturs Irbe (196th overall to Minnesota) had any notable NHL prosperity. Irbe played in 568 games and recorded 218 wins over the course of a 13-year NHL career.

1990
Trevor Kidd (to Calgary 11th overall) was the first goaltender chosen but it was Martin Brodeur (New Jersey, 20th) who went on to become one of the greatest of all time. The second round produced Felix Potvin, the third Mike Dunham and the sixth Roman Turek. All three had their moments but none ever sustained the type of long-term success that every team is looking for from its goaltender. Aside from Brodeur, Potvin had the best career in the league. He was 266-260-85 with five different clubs over a 13-year NHL run.

1991
No goaltenders were chosen in the first round, and a guy by the name of Andrew Verner was the first goaltender chosen (Edmonton, 34th overall). He never made it to the NHL, playing three seasons in the AHL before moving on to Europe where he is still active professionally. The third round of that draft produced journeyman backup Jamie McLennan and Osgood (54th overall), who is on the Hall of Fame track. The Islanders took Milan Hnilicka in the fourth round, Buffalo selected Steve Shields in the fifth. None of the other netminders taken later on had any noteworthy NHL success.

1992
Once again, no goaltenders were chosen in the first round. Once again, the Capitals took the first netminder of the draft, taking Jim Carey with the 32nd overall choice. Carey was a Calder Trophy runner-up in 1994-95 and he won the Vezina Trophy in 1995-96. Nearly half (35 of 79) of Carey’s NHL wins came in his Vezina season and his pro career was over before his 25th birthday. During Carey’s Vezina season, he saw more than 30 shots over a full 60-minute game just four times, and never faced as many as 40. Washington opponents averaged 24.9 shots per game that season.

Manny Fernandez went to Quebec in the third round and Winnipeg made a strong choice with Nikolai Khabibulin (204th overall) in the ninth round. Khabibulin would backstop the Tampa Bay Lightning to a 2004 Stanley Cup championship, joining Dominik Hasek as the only European-born and trained goaltenders to backstop an NHL team to a Cup title.

1993
Quebec took Jocelyn Thibault with the 10th choice. Still active in the NHL as a backup in Buffalo, the 33-year-old Thibault has fashioned a 237-238-74 record in 13 seasons with five clubs, a similar career line to those of Irbe and Potvin. Thibault has won as many as 30 games in a season just once. Florida chose Kevin Weekes in the second round (41st overall) and he has spent several seasons toiling for seven different NHL teams. Weekes has never won 30 games in a season and has won as many as 20 just twice. The Islanders got Tommy Salo in the fifth round (118th overall). A serviceable No. 1 backstop on some dismal Islander teams, Salo later had a pair of 30-win seasons in Edmonton. He finished up with a 210-225-75 NHL record.

Pittsburgh chose Patrick Lalime late in the sixth round (156th) and Hartford chose Manny Legace early in the eighth (188th). Both are still in the league, and Legace was an All-Star this season. Lalime made it to the NHL at 22 and won 21 games as a rookie. He then disappeared into the AHL for the next two seasons before resurfacing with Ottawa where he had a strong five-season run. He is now a backup in Chicago. Legace was 25 when he made it to the NHL and 27 when he won as many as 20 games for the first time. His first season with 30 or more wins came at the age of 32.

1994
When the Kings chose Jamie Storr with the seventh overall pick, it marked the earliest selection of a goaltender since Buffalo took Tom Barrasso fifth overall in 1983. Storr’s career was nowhere near as good as Barrasso’s. Storr knocked around the NHL and the AHL for the better part of a decade and never had a 20-win season in the NHL. He finished his career with a record of 85-86-23. Now 32, Storr is still active as a pro in Germany.

Three more netminders were taken in the first round: Eric Fichaud, 16th; Evgeni Ryabchikov, 21st and Dan Cloutier 30th. Cloutier (137-138-36) has had the best career of that trio. The oft-injured Cloutier did stay healthy enough to record three straight 30-win seasons with the Canucks before the lockout.

The Canadiens found Jose Theodore in the second round (44th overall) and Dallas drafted Marty Turco in the fifth round (124th). Theodore won the Hart and Vezina Trophies in 2002, but he has a sub-.500 career record in both the regular season and the postseason and has never advanced beyond the second round of the playoffs. Turco is closing in on 200 wins (194-93-40) and has been excellent during the regular season. But he has gone as far as the second round of the playoffs only once and has a career postseason mark of 11-18.

The first eight rounds of the 1994 draft produced 15 goaltenders, and then a late run had nine goalies going in the ninth round. The noteworthy ninth produced Frederic Cassivi (210) and a run of three straight (217-19) that yielded Tim Thomas, Johan Hedberg and Evgeny Nabokov. The 226th pick produced Tomas Vokoun and the 229th turned up John Grahame. That’s a pretty remarkable ninth round, even without speedy winger Steve Sullivan (233rd).

Thomas is a late bloomer who didn’t reach the NHL to stay until he was 31. Hedberg is a serviceable backup who has one 20-win season to his credit. Nabokov was almost 19 when he was drafted. He turned pro in North America at 22 and needed three full seasons of AHL seasoning before he was ready to assume the No. 1 job in San Jose in 2000-01, at the age of 25. Nabokov is on his way to a fourth 30-win season in 2007-08. He has had a pair of second-round playoff runs and one third-round playoff run.

Vokoun was a capable support goaltender in the NHL at the age of 22 and a bona fide No. 1 guy by the time he was 26. He has had some good seasons, and the four-year deal he signed in Sept. 2006 gives him financial security. He also has a 3-8 career playoff record.

1995
Hartford chose J-S Giguere with the 13th pick and Buffalo grabbed Martin Biron with the 16th. Brian Boucher (22nd) and Marc Denis (25th) went later in the first round. Giguere won the Conn Smythe Trophy has won a Cup and Biron has had some regular season success but has yet to appear in a Stanley Cup playoff game. His most recent postseason experience came in 1999 when he helped Rochester win the Calder Cup. Boucher and Denis are currently toiling in the AHL after having had modest and sporadic success in the NHL.

J-S Aubin went late in the third (76th) and Vesa Toskala (90th) went in the middle of the fourth. The fifth round turned up a pair of current No. netminders in the league, Miikka Kiprusoff (116th) and Chris Mason (122nd) as well as the Caps’ Johnson (129th). Kiprusoff is regarded as one of the best in the business and he led the Flames to within a whisker of a Stanley Cup title in 2004.

1996
One of the weaker drafts in recent vintage yielded just one first-round goaltender, Craig Hillier (23rd), who never played in the NHL. Righty-catching Mathieu Garon went in the second round (44th) and Robert Esche was chosen in the sixth (139th).

1997
Chosen fourth overall, Roberto Luongo joined Ray Martynuik (fifth in 1970), John Davidson (fifth in 1973) and Barrasso as the only goaltenders in the modern draft era (post-1969) to be chosen among the top five. Arguably the best goaltender in the league, Luongo has lived up to his advance billing despite toiling largely for mediocre clubs. None of the other three goalies drafted in the top 30 (Mika Noronen, 18th; J-F-Damphousse, 26th; J-M Pelletier, 30th) has made an impact.

The final pick of the sixth round (161st overall) turned up Swiss netminder David Aebischer. Johan Holmqvist, now on the outs in Tampa Bay, went in the middle of the seventh round (175th).

1998
Patrick DesRochers (14th) and Mathieu Chouinard (15th) went back-to-back in the middle of the first round. They combined to play a dozen games in the NHL. This draft also produced Jason LaBarbera (66th), Dany Sabourin (108th) and Andrew Raycroft (135th) but the best of the bunch is probably Antero Niittymaki (168th).

1999
First-rounders Brian Finley (sixth), Maxime Ouellet (22nd) and Ari Ahonen (27th) combined to play just 16 NHL games. Second-rounder Alex Auld (40th) had a 30-win season and is a reasonably competent backup. The lone capable No. 1 guy to come out of this draft was Ryan Miller in the fifth round (138th).

2000
Rick DiPietro became the first goaltender ever chosen with the first overall pick. He is 109-98-28 lifetime, an impressive record given the quality of the teams he has played for. The 26-year-old DiPietro is 2-7 in playoff competition. Calgary chose Brent Krahn with the ninth overall pick. Now in his fifth season as a pro, the 25-year-old Krahn has yet to play in the NHL.

Ilya Bryzgalov (44th) and Dan Ellis (60th) were both second-round choices. Bryzgalov spent four years honing his skills in the AHL before he was deemed ready for an NHL apprenticeship. Now 27, he is in his first year as No. 1 guy. After four seasons in the AHL, the 27-year-old Ellis is an NHL rookie backing up Chris Mason in Nashville.

Michal Tellqvist (70th) is Bryzgalov’s backup in Phoenix and Roman Cechmanek (171st) was a sixth-rounder with plenty of European pro experience who had a short run of NHL success. Seventh-round sleeper Henrik Lundqvist (205th) is on his way to becoming one of the NHL’s elite goalies. He came to the NHL as a 23-year-old with a good deal of European seasoning and has been solid right from the start of his NHL career. Lundqvist is 6-7 in the postseason.

2001
The first round yielded Pascal Leclaire (eighth), just coming into his own this season; Dan Blackburn (10th), whose career was prematurely ended by a nerve injury in his shoulder; Jason Bacashihua (26th) and Adam Munro (29th). Bacashihua is a sixth-year pro who is now with his third NHL organization. He has a 7-17-4 lifetime mark in the NHL, and is now in the Avs system. Munro is a fifth-year pro who is 4-10-3 in the league.

Colorado plucked Peter Budaj with the final pick (63rd) in the second round. He debuted in 2005-06 and won 31 games for the Avs last season, but has been inconsistent in 2007-08. Ottawa grabbed Ray Emery early in the fourth (99th). Emery helped the Sens to the Cup finals last spring, earning a big contract in the process. He has been troubled by off-ice issues this season.

San Jose chose Dmitri Patzold in the fourth round (107th). Now a fifth-year pro, Patzold turns 25 next week. He made his NHL debut this season, getting into three games. He has yet to make a start, however.

Capable NHL backup Mike Smith was chosen late in the fifth round (161st) and Euro vet Pasi Nurminen went in the sixth (189th). Two more Euro vets who went in later rounds are still enjoying NHL success. The Kings chose Cristobal Huet in the seventh round (214th) and Anaheim picked Martin Gerber (232nd) in the eighth round. Neither the Kings nor the Ducks kept their late-round finds long enough to see the rewards, though. And the Kings could sure use Huet about now.

2002
The Thrashers took Kari Lehtonen second overall and the Hurricanes selected Cam Ward 25th. Both netminders have had some ups and downs, but are considered the current and future No. 1 goalies of their respective franchises. Ward helped lead the Hurricanes to the 2006 Stanley Cup championship, winning the Conn Smythe Trophy in the process.

Boston chose Hannu Toivonen late in the first round (29th) and made him its backup after two years in the AHL. Now with St. Louis, Toivonen has spent parts of each of the last two seasons back in the AHL, but he is still only 23. Second-rounder Josh Harding (38th) is proving to be a capable backup in Minnesota, and is thought of as a potential No. 1.

Euro vet Fredrik Norrena came out of the seventh round (217th) and has played well for Columbus over the last two seasons.

2003
The only goalie chosen in the first round was Marc-Andre Fleury, who went first overall to Pittsburgh. He has had his ups and downs after being rushed to the NHL as a teenager, but he won 40 games for the Pens last season. The jury is still out on Fleury as a playoff performer. He has a 3-10 mark as a pro in the postseason, including 1-4 in the NHL.

Montreal found Jaroslav Halak in the ninth round (271st) and he has had some early success in the NHL.

2004
Six goaltenders were chosen in the top 38 picks of this draft, but but only the Blues’ Marek Schwarz (four games) has had a taste of the NHL to date. The Lightning grabbed Karri Ramo late in the sixth round (191st) and he has played on parts of two NHL seasons goaltending starved Tampa Bay.

2005
Carey Price (fifth overall) turned pro late last season and helped the Hamilton Bulldogs to the Calder Cup championship, winning the Jack Butterfield Trophy in the process. The 20-year-old Price spent the first half of this season with the Canadiens, going 9-7-3. Tuukka Rask went 21st overall. Although he has already been traded once, he has also had a taste of the NHL this season, earning his first two NHL wins.

Atlanta chose Ondrej Pavelec in the second round (41st overall) and he picked up his first three NHL wins earlier this season. Third-rounder Johnathan Quick (72nd) also had a cup of NHL coffee and recorded his first win in the league early in the campaign. Quick is playing in the ECHL right now. Fifth-rounder Tomas Popperle (131st) made a pair of relief appearances with the Blue Jackets last season.

2006
The Kings chose Jonathan Bernier 11th overall as the first netminder taken in the draft. Bernier began the 2007-08 season with Los Angeles before heading back to the QMJHL to continue his junior career.

Given the track record at the position, virtually any of the goaltenders drafted in this century still have a chance to make an impact and have a career for themselves in the NHL.

Conclusions
Rarely does a single draft produce more than one elite NHL goaltender.

Several of the early- and middle-round goaltenders put together a few strong seasons, but few delivered Stanley Cup playoff success.

Late rounds definitely turn up the occasional gem, and first-round pedigree is no guarantee of NHL success.

Several goalies from the last four or five drafts have been given a look in the league, but precious few have had any impact to speak of.

The List (goaltenders chosen in the draft by Washington since Kolzig and Dafoe in 1989)
Jim Carey, second round (32nd) in 1992
Mark Seliger, 10th round (251st) in 1993
Sebastien Charpentier, forth round (93rd) in 1995
David Weninger, third round (74th) in 1996
Curtis Cruickshank, fourth round (89th) in 1997
Pierre-Luc Therrien, eighth round (200th) in 1997
Jomar Cruz, second round (49th) in 1998
Rastislav Stana, seventh round (193rd) in 1998
Robert Muller, ninth round (275th) in 2001
Maxime Daigneault, second round (59th) in 2002
Robert Gherson, fifth round (145th) in 2002
Justin Mrazek, eighth round (230th) in 2004
Daren Machesney, fifth round (143rd) in 2005
Simeon Varlamov, first round (23rd) in 2006
Michal Neuvirth, second round (34th) in 2006
Dan Dunn, sixth round (154th) in 2007

I’ll have more on goalies in a couple of days, but that’s more than enough to chew on for now.

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19 Comments on “The Caps’ Next Goalie”

  1. Drew Says:

    What a comprehensive list! Thanks for doing the legwork, Mike.

    I’ve tried to avoid the “Kolzig is done” arguments swirling around. The Caps were content to ride Olie throughout his post-Vezina era, even as his GP (and other stats) flagged. The front office was never serious about finding a successor because there wasn’t a glaring need. Hence the revolving door of Charpy/Stana/Ouellet/Cassivi, none of whom ever had breakout potential.

    Johnson was the first backup in a decade who felt like a bona fide NHL-caliber netminder. Unfortunately, the position has changed. It demands the technical expertise of the best-trained college and juniors goalies blended with innovation/adaption to the speed of the NHL game. Johnson is a jack of all trades but not perfect on either front. He may only be 30, but his best season with St. Louis was 2002. The Blues in those years played the trap; I worry that the Caps’ wide-open style under Boudreau will not happily accommodate Johnson’s imperfect technique and occasional lapses of composure.

    (If I’m saying this about Johnson, you can imagine what I think of Kolzig’s style in 2008. #37 will surely hang from the rafters some day, but all apologies to Mike Wise — this is a business.)

    Sorry to linger, but the last thing I’ll say is about platoon systems: for every relatively smooth goalie tandem — and I’m not sure Osgood/Hasek is a great example but rather a situation where Detroit is so good it just doesn’t matter — there will be plenty of Fernandez/Roloson, Toskala/Nabokov, Gerber/Emery, or Giguere/Bryzgalov-esque controversy to feed the message boards. Is that a distraction the Caps can really afford?

  2. garbage_goal Says:

    Two things strike me from looking down that list: Goalies get traded more often than baseball cards do (Fernandez drafted by Quebec?! I had no idea…), and most need to be 25 or 26 before they can make an impact in the NHL.

    Even if Kolzig manages to hang on another two years, I doubt either Neuvirth or Varlamov are going to be able to provide *quality* goaltending for the Caps then. For the first time in his tenure, McPhee is going to have to address starting goaltending, and I really hope he figures it out fast.

    As nicely as the forward and defense corps seem to be progressing for the Caps, you don’t go anywhere in the playoffs without a good goalie.

  3. Mike L Says:

    It is apparent that the Caps need to do something in the goaltending department if they’re going to be playing the up-tempo style of hockey they’ve been playing since BB became the coach. I do like the style, but it does lead to a bunch of odd-man rushes against the team if the oppoenent makes a defensive play (as seen last night in Montreal). Johnson didn’t play badly at all, I don’t think any of the goals were his fault… the first one was a good play on the PP by Montreal, the second was a two-on-none breakaway (which is a defensive lapse, not a goalie issue) and the third was a puck sitting in the corner that Johnny can’t play but Kovalev can….

    I hear one of the goalies from last years Cup final is available for a trade, and he certainly could use a change of scenery. I suspect Ray Emery might work out here in DC.

    Now if the Caps had put in a claim for Bryzgalov….

  4. Marks4Java Says:

    Very enlightening. Thanks for putting in that effort Mike.
    I’m not sure if I should feel good, or not based on this research.
    It almost seems like no goalies really ever “own” the role for very long at the NHL level.
    Only the elite of elite are in for the long haul.

  5. KCME Says:

    No Ray Emery!!! He has a bad attitude! He may be a good goalie but I’m not sure his ego would fit in with the Caps….

  6. Mike L Says:

    You never know… there have been other players with “Bad Attitudes” who have been moved to other teams and changed their ways. The thing with Emery and the Senators has to do with their going to the finals last year and him being in a contract year.

    I have a feeling if he were to go to a different team it would wake him up. And going to a team where he is guarnateed of nothing (such as here in DC), would be a rude awakening, which is what he needs.

  7. Drew Says:

    The real problem with Emery is that he’s unproven by most definitions, and certainly by the standards outlined above.

    Most surprising to me: Vogs’s chronology points out how few chances a goalie ever gets to be a rock-solid starter in this league. The journeymen like Thibault were moderate contenders for top billing but ended up spending most of their careers in a ballcap rather than donning the mask. The former golden boys like Khabibulin, Lalime, and Esche quickly lost their luster after system or team changes. What happened to Gerber — a second chance to earn his chevrons after falling from grace in Carolina — is the exception, not the rule. Same of Legace, who was only a gap-filler in Detroit.

    If Johnson was brought in to be a successor to Kolzig’s workhorse games played stat, he will need a lot of reps. That HAS to be the most important measurement, or this whole process is artifice. How can a guy break into the league at 22, play 130 games in his first three seasons, spend the next seven years averaging merely 15 starts … and be expected to “wait a little longer” before getting his crack at the starting job? The Caps should be playing Johnson 28 of the next 32 games to see if he is sound. Truth will not out if he shares the half-time duty with Kolzig.

    This is the most important issue facing the Caps in 2008-09. Glad to have a forum for discussing it.

  8. Drew Says:

    Also, Emery is not in a contract year. He re-signed this past off-season for 3 years and roughly $9M. That’s a huge risk for any team to absorb, even the most desperate (which we are not … yet).

  9. pepper Says:

    Looks like McPhee’s strategy thus far has been to start drafting two goalies every year and hope one of them matures in time to pass the torch. And indeed it looks like almost a ten year learning curve from draft day except in some extraordinary cases. Maybe Varlamov will be the next Russian goaltender to lead a team, our team, to the Cup, but that seems likely to be for the 2012 awarding of it at least.

    I agree that McPhee should seriously consider dealing a package of our growing reserve of prospects and 2008 picks for an established goalie to see us through for the next couple of seasons.

  10. KCME Says:

    I thought Varlamov wasn’t doing all that well in Russia. I’m not sure he’s the answer…

  11. Mike L Says:

    Emery was in a contract year last year (when he was great) and now he’s signed, so he’s got less pressure on him. I have questions about him too, but at the same time he’s got some great experience, and I think a wake-up will get him going.

    Of course, there aren’t many other goalies out there that are both available and that won’t cost a ton of prospects. I suspect right now Ottawa might be willing to take a draft pick or two for next year for Emery.

  12. strungout Says:

    Not sure if you can answer this or not…but was there more to Ouellet being let go than was reported? (Not that a whole much of anything was ever really reported on it)

    It just seemed strange at the time (not as much now that he’s barely getting into the ECHL again) that a guy that was pretty highly regarded could just lose the confidence of the team that quickly. Was it just the rebound control that sealed it? Or was there more?

  13. BEARS......WOOOO!!!! Says:

    Having been a Caps fan all my life here in Hershey the time is now to make a move for a goaltender. Ray Emery is a cancer everywhere he goes in the organization. Binghamton and now Ottawa. Seeing a guy like Macheesney in Hershey says he just isn’t ready yet. But if the Caps are to make a playoff run you gotta start from the crease out. Olie himself said he isn’t seeing much work right now. But what about the log jam of goalies in the Pittsburgh organization. Fleury will be back and that leaves Conklin or Sabourin the odd man out. Plus they have a stud in goal right now who’s name escapes me. Also Jimmy Howard in Grand Rapids isn’t getting any ice time in Detroit with the dominator and Osgood. What say you?

  14. Justin Says:

    That’s some great research, much appreciated.

  15. Mike L Says:

    To get Howard from the Wings will take a lot, more than most teams can offer. Remember Ozzie is in his 30’s, and Hasek is in his mid-40s. It’s doubtful that the Pens will drop Conklin after Fleury returns since having an experienced back-up is vital with a young starter like Fleury. Sabourin goes back to Wilkes Barre once Fleury is ready to come back.

    As for goalies that might be available at the deadline (aside from Emery):

    David Aebischer – PHX
    JS Aubin – LA
    Marc Denis – TB
    Johan Hedberg – ATL
    Patrick Lalime – CHI
    Kevin Weeks – NJ

  16. usiel Says:

    As far as trading for younger goalie its best to look at a team that has an established started for the next several years. Halak might be a good one from Montreal that a team could trade for.

    If Johnson can show enough through the balance of the season I would think he might end up being the starter next season if Kolzig decides to retire or the caps don’t resign them. This makes me a bit nervous but even Kolzig wasn’t a full time starter till he was 27. Goalies generally have a longer dev curve berfore becoming a legit starter. Even signing Huet for a 5 year deal isn’t that big a deal. It will let Neuvirth/Varlamov/Dunn to develop.

    Vogs I would be curious to see if you antipate Neuvirth at Hershey next season and if there is a chance for Varlamov to come over.

  17. Sam Says:

    Just wondering how all these posting and analytical experts are able to tell when a young goalie is ready or how those who have not yet played at a certain level are considered better prospects than those who are currently playing at a level above them. Many young goaltenders have stepted into major roles in the NHL with very little experience & performed well. My point is you always here of Varlamov or Neuvirth but little mention is made of Machesney as a legitmate NHL candidate. But all he’s done this year is come in when given the chance and win. Currently 13-3-2 in the American League with a 2.13 GAA (2nd in League) & .931 SA% (1st in League). Religated to the back-up role in Hershey when the season started, he’s performed so well that now many feel he has earned the right to take the #1 job away from Freddie Cassivi. So when given a chance sometime strange things happen. When is ready?

  18. Matthew Says:

    ” Johan Holmqvist, now on the outs in Tampa Bay, went in the middle of the seventh round (175th).”

    Has there ever been goalie for Tortorella that wasn’t “on the outs?”

  19. dumpnchase Says:

    Drew,
    Good comments. I don’t see the tandem thing as a distraction as much as a means to managing the team’s goaltending assets into a playoff berth. I think it’s what’s best for the team and what’s best for both goalies at this stage of their respective careers.

    garbage,
    My next installment on this topic — which I hope to have tomorrow — will address exactly that: what type of goaltender you need to get deep into the playoffs.

    Mike L,
    Not sure whether Emery or Bryzgalov would be the answer, as you’ll see when the next installment comes out. Possibly Emery. Hard to know at this point.

    Drew,
    I do agree that goaltending is the most important issue facing this team in the immediate future. I’d also rather see a Johnson/Kolzig split (or a hot hand) the rest of the way, rather than one guy or the other carrying the mail. If it works out, easy enough to re-sign Kolzig for another year and try it again in 08-09.

    Pepper,
    A trade of some of those assets is certainly another viable option. But that also may mean keeping those assets as the Feb. 26 trade deadline approaches, rather than moving them for some immediate help at another position.

    KCME,
    He’s not even 20 years old yet! Way to early to vilify (or deify) him or Neuvirth based on what either is doing at any level this season.

    Mike L,
    If Ottawa is going to move Emery, I believe they’d have to get a goalie in return, at least if they move him between now and the deadline. There are high Cup expectations up there, and some of the wood is starting to come unglued. I can’t see them going the rest of the way with Gerber and say, Brian Elliott in goal.

    strungout,
    To my eyes, it was a lack of conditioning as much as anything else. I watched Ouellet closely in the first training camp after the lockout and he could not even come close to keeping up with Kolzig (who was coming off knee surgery at the time) in the conditioning drills. At that point, before any preseason games, I thought he might be a short-timer here. I’m not sure what the powers that be saw that they didn’t like, but that’s what I saw. Given his career path since, I think it’s safe to say the Caps didn’t make a mistake there.

    BEARS,
    Howard is a good prospect, but my guess is Detroit will work him in over the next few years as Osgood’s understudy. And don’t sell Machesney short. I’ve always been very impressed by him on and off the ice and wouldn’t write him out of the mix at all, just because he’s a fifth-rounder and the Caps have a couple prospects with higher profiles. As you can see from the post above, the ditches and culverts along the road to the NHL are littered with failed former first-rounders.

    usiel,
    I can easily envision Neuvirth and Varlamov splitting time in Hershey next season.

    Sam,
    I’m with you. Machesney is the wild card in this whole discussion, IMO. It will be interesting to see how he does the rest of the way and if they can get him a taste of some playoff action this spring. And then it will be even more interesting to see where he ends up next season, especially if Neuvirth and Varlamov are both in Hershey.

    Matthew,
    Probably not. Karri Ramo is in the club now.


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